The Crystal Ball. Or, Oops, Michael Stonebraker did it Again

Michael Stonebraker’s opinions and claims are always refreshing to read. He’s done a lot for our industry and for how we do data processing. Some of his claims are certainly right as well. Here’s an interview with him, telling us about his 5 predictions on the future of databases.

Of course, him being a software vendor, many of his claims should be read with caution. Today, the most popular DBMS (relational or not) are still Oracle, MySQL, and SQL Server. Even his “popular” PostgreSQL is still a niche player, let alone the almost forgotten Ingres and the never really popular Vertica columnar “NewSQL” database. Obviously, we’re not saying they’re bad databases, but they’re certainly not very popular. The same goes with SAP. Their Sybase databases have been surpassed by SQL Server both in quality and in popularity 10 years ago, when Microsoft forked the Sybase code into T-SQL. We hardly believe that Oracle and Sybase will have the “final fight” for RDBMS supremacy.

But again. That’s Mike Stonebraker, the salesman as in “The Traditional RDBMS Wisdom is All Wrong”

Column Stores: Teaching an Old Elephant New Tricks

Prof. Michael Stonebraker is a controversial visionary, who is known for nothing less than Ingres, Postgres, Vertica, Streambase, Illustra, VoltDB, SciDB, besides being a renowned MIT professor. My recent blog post about Stonebraker’s talk at the EPFL (host university to Prof. Martin Odersky, creator of the Scala Language and Co-Founder of Typesafe) has triggered a very interesting discussion on reddit.

While Stonebraker is very sure about his obviously biased claims that “The Traditional RDBMS Wisdom is All Wrong”, the bottom line of the reddit discussion included:

Interesting insight on SQL Server’s enhancement can be seen in this blog post by Microsoft’s Nicolas Bruno, who challenges the fact that column stores cannot be implemented by “traditional RDBMS”. As Nicolas Bruno stated, an “Old Elephant” can be taught new tricks. “Traditional RDBMS” have proven to adapt to long-term trends in the database industry. Their success isn’t based around the fact that they are mainly fast, or particularly well-designed to respond to niche problem domains. Their success is mainly based on the fact that they are designed according to Codd’s 12 Rules, and thus to be extremely flexible in how they separate data interfacing (SQL) from data storage.

A lot of additional insight and ongoing links can be found in these blog posts by Daniel Lemire, where he had challenged Stonebraker’s similar claims already four years ago: